June 11, 2008
How Many Sequels Were There? - the quiz.
I got 3/10, which I think is better than chance. If I know it's a geometric distribution and can guess the expected value µ I think the right strategy is to bet the two integers closest to µ in the proportion that they average to µ. That strategy would have scored either 1 or 2 on this test depending on your prior estimate. This is, of course, really the tail of the dist, which would skew things, but not for 10 trials.
Anyway for some reason the Friday the 13th terminus was stuck in my brain but I was surprised (high) by every other entry. Also: Joe McGann -- I think the right analogy would be "Baldwin brothers."
Use your mouse to hilite and play along:
Alec Baldwin - But are there any more Baldwins?
There were more/That was it: (2 total) - Yes, Stephen Baldwin. But are there any more Baldwins?
There were more/That was it: (3 total) - Yes, William Baldwin. But are there any more Baldwins?
There were more/That was it: (4 total) - Yes, Daniel Baldwin. But are there any more Baldwins?
There were more/That was it: (5 total) - No, that was all. Adam Baldwin is not related.
There were more/That was it: (6 total) - No, goddamit, that was all.
There were more/That was it: (7 total) - No, goddamit, that was all.
There were more/That was it: (8 total) - No, goddamit, that was all.
There were more/That was it: (9 total) - No, goddamit, that was all.
There were more/That was it: Look, fuck off, OK?
FTW!
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well that was a hard quiz!
posted by beckto at 08:09PM CST on June 11